Podcast: Play in new window | Download
Carlos Welch reports on his trip to the PCA and ponders moving west. Andrew rants about what it means to give your opponent a decision. You can watch Carlos advise newly-minted professional Mike Sneideman in “Poker Pro: Year 1”.
Timestamps
0:30 – Hello and Welcome plus WRGPT strat
21:35 – Carlos
In the UK we don’t have housing projects, we have ‘estates’, 😉
I’ve not heard of Top Boy, but another series I enjoyed that was clearly influenced by The Wire, in its first series at least, was Line Of Duty. It focuses more on the police side of things but a lot of action is set in a housing estate, too. There’s a second season, and then two more in the pipeline.
Harry Brown! Also Fishtank is a great, underrated estate movie.
I give you a lot of credit, Carlos for being able to live out of your van. I can barely go camping for one night. Thanks for an entertaining podcast.
I just stumbled upon this, and the timing of having just listen to Carlos talk about almost making salad out of condiments seems an epitome of synchronicity… Universe – are you telling me to be thrifty?
NYT on Mr. Money Mustache
The AJJ66 hand was butchered beyond belief. Mistakes on the river are always compounded, if you check call two streets against a villain who has a range full of air you simply must let him hang himself. Open shoving river lets anyone with half a brain play perfectly. The submitters retort that he wanted to “put the villain in a hard spot” is ignoring some very basic ideas about why you are even check calling the previous streets. If you want to put the villain in a difficult spot you need to make him question whether he should call or fold, if he has K high there is likely an amount he will call with up to a point where it becomes a tough decision.
This is likely between 1/10th pot to maybe 1/6th pot, 1/6th pot is a tough decision and would have earned an extra 6000 chips, it is also likely to induce a bluff in some cases. I think the OP was scared to check call a bet and figured shoving was the “easier” play. Another thing to consider if the OP is scared to check call a shove and thinks he is ahead is to simply lead enough chips that he can’t fold, so with 33k in the pot and 26k behind leading 10k will pot commit him since a villain shove (assuming he covered) will give him 6:1+ however I still think this is only appropriate when you are sure villain is checking behind and you are going for thin value. This is a great board for a villain to spaz and shove 88 thinking he can get an A to fold. If he checks behind with KQ it is irrelevant since he is likely never calling or raising with that hand when the nuts are quite easy to have.
Yeah I’m glad Andrew talked about this hand- for a lot of listeners this probably feels like a straight forward check call on the river but I’ve heard random live players and poker friends with otherwise decent poker intelligence echo statements like this on multiple occasions. Putting opponents to decisions in this manner and hero calling in bad spots seems to be some of the hardest things to eliminate from one’s game.
Seems like you are saying most of the same things we did, only meaner….
Man, I was thinking the exact same thing.
I don’t disagree I also stopped the pod cast and posted this before hearing you lay out all the same plus more of course in a more eleoquent and nicer manner.
ill try to keep it nicer in the future but I also it is sometimes a disservice to people when they ignore advice like the submitters response seemed to and you can then be frank and honest and it will either help or be ignored again. My only interest was in helping the original submitter.
Carlos should have a regular nitcast segment on the show- always love to hear him on the podcast!
What a treat to hear this interview with Carlos! I was just thinking how I lapsed in listening to these podcasts, and smiling to myself about the adventure Andrew and Carlos had in Boonsboro, Maryland, when I saw this one. I liked the part about you talking with your mother. Sun, water and poker sounds like a good combination. Good luck, Carlos!
Thanks for the kind words everyone!
Here is a link to the Twitch stream Andrew and I did from his place in San Fransisco. http://www.twitch.tv/carloswelch/v/50926548 Not surprisingly, it has quickly become my most popular stream in record time. Sitting and talking with Andrew is apparently more engaging than the time a live giraffe tried to blow snot on me in the Nitmobile.
Thanks for the mention of my promising and already defunct project lol. I now can cross something off my bucket list…i made the Nitcast show notes! Andrew, please stop trying to persuade Carlos to move to SanFran with catchy phrases like “van culture”…we want the guy in SoCal.
Sorry to hear it’s already defunct! I don’t think there’s any danger of Carlos moving to SF. All the best in your quest,
Andrew