PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $4.00 BB (2 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($1000)
Hero (SB) ($1807.80)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 10
, 6
Hero bets $12, BB calls $8
Flop: ($25.60) 3, 5
, 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $19, BB raises to $64, Hero calls $45
Turn: ($153.60) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $72, Hero raises to $211, BB calls $139
River: ($575.60) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1520 (All-In), 1 fold
Total pot: $575.60 | Rake: $0.50
Results:
Hero didn’t show 10, 6 (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $575.10
I don’t think there are many 7’s in his flop check-raising range. I could see him having 74s if he calls that pre-flop or 87 but probably not a hand like K7 or 75. I expected that he would shove 87 over a turn raise, but that if he just called the turn raise, I could shove unpaired rivers and win a large percentage of the time. Granted I sometimes have the best hand anyway on the turn, but that’s kind of irrelevant since it’s vulnerable and I don’t think I can call a river bet. So I turn it into a bluff on the turn, and once he calls, I expect him to have two pair or a set. The turn bet sizing is pretty consistent with that as well.
The overbet on the river (it’s about $750 into $500) is some extra encouragement for him to fold. Honestly I don’t think I’m playing a bare 7 like this. If I raise the turn for value, I have either 87 or a 7 with a heart draw. I felt shoving the river was more consistent with the 87 and also would get disproportionate folds even if he did manage some good handreading and put me on a narrow range.
Interesting hand.
I’d always be worried about bluffing into the nuts here but you made good arguments for why that’s unlikely to happen.
are you saying you think he will c/c with k7 or 75? or donking them?
I can’t see the suits at work but it sounds like there is a Heart draw out there. Is it a really small part of your range to have say K2 or A2 of hearts?
Well played. I think what made this work is how “unorthodox” it seemed to the villain.It gave the appearance that the hero’s hand was very strong. “Standard poker logic” would tell you not too get too crazy with a big bluff out of position. It would also tell you that raising/calling big bets on a scary board like this is not a great idea. I think this is why the bluff worked. Even if villain had a strong hand like 2 pair, he would have a hard time not giving you credit for the straight, after action on every street, and then the river all in.
Did you ever find out what the villain had? My guess was a small pair with a backdoor flush draw like Ah5h or Kh5h.
Why do you not credit him with say, 97hh? Isn’t it somewhat common to c/r a gutshot + overcards on the flop? Or is the read player specific?
on the flop, i mean.
I think villain misses value on the river with 97hh by not leading. Also I’m not sure villain flats turn with the second nuts drawing to possibly a good flush.
You’d think he’d raise turn because if he gets to the river he’s still first to act and a lot of cards could kill his action.
Yeah it was apparent by the river/turn, but what about the flop? Foucault could continue with the bluff on the turn because of flop play, right? And he deduced that villain doesn’t c/r a gutshot + overs, and I was wondering what line of thought concluded that.