Granted my flop call isn’t the greatest, but I think most of his bluffing range is just giving up pretty much any turn, so I’m not too worried about getting bluffed out when I’m ahead.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em Tournament, 600/1200 Blinds 150 Ante (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP2 (t42883)
Hero (MP3) (t52081)
CO (t54591)
Button (t21349)
SB (t35452)
BB (t57997)
UTG (t24520)
UTG+1 (t14051)
MP1 (t65282)
Hero’s M: 16.53
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 3, 3
4 folds, Hero bets t2888, 3 folds, BB calls t1688
Flop: (t7726) 7, 7, 10 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t4444, BB raises to t10800, Hero calls t6356
Turn: (t29326) 3 (2 players)
BB bets t44159 (All-In), Hero calls t38243 (All-In)
River: (t105812) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t105812
Results:
BB had 7, 5 (full house, sevens over fives).
Hero had 3, 3 (full house, threes over sevens).
Outcome: BB won t105812
“most of his bluffing range is just giving up pretty much any turn”
Not following this. What if a low spade hits on the turn and the villain leads out? You call the turn.
BTW, I just stumbled on your blog and I think its great. Esp the WSOP trip reports.
I’m an amateur-weekend type of player. So, this is good insight for me. appreciate it.
It’s possible that he’d keep bluffing a spade. In fact, if he’s really good (he is a really good tournament player, but I’m not sure that translates into being an expert multi-barrel bluffer), he’d be check-raising this flop at least as often with back-door spades as with four-to-a-flush. I would definitely be giving up if he bet any card but this one, but I think he probably doesn’t fire multiple barrels except maybe on a spade.
In other words, on about 75% of turns, I expect him to give up his bluffs. Thus, if he does keep betting, I’m comfortable folding. Does that make more sense?