Stupid Call

CO in this hand was unknown to me. He’d only been at the table for a few hands, but he seemed to be involved in every pot, and indeed had played 40% of his hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($1148)
BB ($1000)
UTG ($1810.50)
Hero (MP) ($2899.50)
CO ($1301)
Button ($3595.85)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
1 fold, Hero bets $35, CO calls $35, Button calls $35, SB calls $30, 1 fold

Flop: ($150) 2, 2, 9 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $99, CO calls $99, Button calls $99, 1 fold

Turn: ($447) 6 (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $299, Button calls $299, Hero calls $299

River: ($1344) Q (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $868 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero calls $868

Total pot: $3080 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and twos).
CO had 2, 2 (four of a kind, twos).
Outcome: CO won $3077

My original plan was hopefully to check-shove the turn vs. him, which I still think would be good. BTN’s call confounded that plan (notice he and I are 300BB deep). I think his presence in the hand actually enables me to fold this on the river. I convinced myself that CO could be overplaying a worse overpair, but he also seemed to have a high 3-bet (33%, though again over a small sample), making it unlikely he gets to the flop with such a hand. And with the Q rivering, it’s probably only KK he could conceivably play this way anyway, as far as hands that I beat. Doubtful he’s shoving a busted draw into two players on the river.