I’m probably good here sometimes, and it’s close whether a call is better than a fold, but I think raising wins me the pot almost 100% of the time:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $10.00 BB (9 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG+1 ($1114)
MP1 ($1249.25)
MP2 ($1000)
MP3 ($1099.75)
CO ($1656)
Hero (Button) ($4392.25)
SB ($1693)
BB ($1205)
UTG ($1257.15)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 10
, 10
6 folds, Hero bets $25, SB calls $20, 1 fold
Flop: ($60) 10
, 8, A
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $44, SB calls $44
Turn: ($148) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $110, Hero calls $110
River: ($368) 7 (2 players)
SB bets $285, Hero raises to $1223, 1 fold
Total pot: $938 | Rake: $3
Results:
Hero didn’t show 10, 10 (nothing).
Outcome: Hero won $935
Villain can very easily have a straight here, most like QJ for a flopped double gutter, but he never has a flush unless it’s exactly QcJc. I, on the other hand, could very easily have a flush, and I don’t think this is a spot where Villain expects to see many bluffs.
i really like your line of thinking here. Too bad this would never work at 400nl
Thanks, Jordan. This exact bluff might not work, but the overall concept of bluffing with showdown value is an important one that’s very applicable at lower levels. The point is that you should evaluate all of your options and not allow yourself to be blinded by the strength of your hand.
cool river spot, nh
cant edit but – do you worry at all that villain should realize QJ is the absolute top of his range and bet/folding would be exploitable given this line?
I agree he probably woudln’t ever expect a bluff here, and your value range has enough flush combos to make it a gross spot with QJ – but if he’s v good / thinking and realizes he’s capped at QJ with his line likely, he shouldn’t always fold river.
Yeah, that’s a good point, and it’s an interesting spot from his perspective. I also think it’s neat that although even QJ is just a bluff-catcher for him, that doesn’t mean it’s the same as two pair if I’m going to bluff with a hand this strong.
To answer your question, you’re right that it’s exploitable for him to fold QJ, but I didn’t expect him to make a decision based on that.
Psshhh… folding a nut straight to a backdoor flush.
You give me too many ideas to spew in lower limits.