I took an early exit from this tournament on a coin flip:
Full Tilt Pot-Limit Omaha Hi/Lo Tournament, 20/40 Blinds (8 handed) – Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (MP1) (t4925)
MP2 (t5142)
CO (t5938)
Button (t4775)
SB (t8994)
BB (t5025)
UTG (t5146)
UTG+1 (t5070)
Hero’s M: 82.08
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 10
, A
, 9, 2
2 folds, Hero raises to t120, 3 folds, SB raises to t400, 1 fold, Hero calls t280
Flop: (t840) 9, 10, 7 (2 players)
SB bets t840, Hero raises to t3360, SB raises to t5880, Hero calls t1165 (All-In)
Turn: (t9890) A
(2 players, 1 all-in)
River: (t9890) K (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: t9890
Results:
SB had J, A, A, 7 (Hi: flush, Ace high).
Hero had 10, A, 9, 2 (Hi: two pair, Aces and tens).
Outcome: SB won t9890
I was pretty sure the guy had AA, just because that’s about all you’ll see most people re-raise with in a spot like this. Truthfully, he ought to have AA2, preferably with a suit, to be re-raising. AA with a poor low draw isn’t that strong a hand in PLO8, especially with stacks as deep as these. That doesn’t mean I put him on AA2, because I’m not about to give a random that kind of credit, but that’s what he ought to have.
Again, when he pots the flop, he ought to have something other than AA, but that’s not a guarantee. With my top two pair and back door low draw, I was pretty sure it’d be thin but OK to get it in. I wasn’t happy to see that he had the nut flush draw, but when I ran the equity, I was actually still a coin flip:
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=6010637
pokenum -o8 td as 9s 2c - jc ad ac 7h -- 9c tc 7s
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 7s Tc 9c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
As 9s 2c Td 349 349 463 8 160 0 0 0.493
Ac Jc Ad 7h 361 463 349 8 0 0 0 0.507
Even if we let him keep the nut flush draw and give him the A2 that he ought to have to go along with it, my equity is still pretty good:
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=6010643
pokenum -o8 td as 9s 2c - jc ad ac 2h -- 9c tc 7s
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 7s Tc 9c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
As 9s 2c Td 348 438 382 0 0 0 160 0.528
Ac Jc Ad 2h 312 382 438 0 0 0 160 0.472
And even if he keeps the low draw, I'm a big favorite if he doesn't have the flush:
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=6010647
pokenum -o8 td as 9s 2c - jd ad ac 2h -- 9c tc 7s
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 7s Tc 9c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
As 9s 2c Td 453 613 207 0 0 0 160 0.699
Ac Ad Jd 2h 207 207 613 0 0 0 160 0.301