This was against some random in the weekly FTP 100 rebuy. I felt like although he probably was dumb enough to shove pocket pairs here, he’d raise most of them pre-flop. I felt like random diamonds, often with a dominated Ace, or just Ace-high would be his most likely holding. Didn’t even consider this, but I guess it suggests he could at least show up with like AJ here:
Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold’em Tournament, 50/100 Blinds, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com – Hand History Converter
Hero (BB): 5,000
UTG: 7,430
MP: 5,026
CO: 8,530
BTN: 1,773
SB: 4,741
Pre-Flop: (150) Q
A
dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP calls 100, 3 folds, Hero raises to 500, MP calls 400
Flop: (1,050) T
T 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets 666, MP raises to 4,526 and is All-In, Hero calls 3,834 and is All-In
Turn: (10,050) 7 (2 Players – 1 is All-In)
River: (10,050) J (2 Players – 1 is All-In)
Results: 10,050 Pot
Hero showed Q A (a pair of Tens) and LOST (-5,000 NET)
MP showed K A (a pair of Tens) and WON 10,050 (+5,050 NET)
Also, if he does have a small pair, note that I have some backdoor outs, including a flush and a running pair that would counterfeit him. Those probably add up to almost 5% extra equity and were definitely a consideration.
I’m guessing AQ isn’t your favourite hand of late? 🙂
Belated congratulations for your run at the WSOP.
didn’t you do a blog about bunch of AQ hands?
Blarg. Thanks for reminding me.
Strange he didn’t raise preflop at some point.
Hello,
I am relatively new player, following your blog as an extension to your excellent coaching videos at pokersavvy+. (thanks for incredibly good work, btw)
But unfortunately, I am still dumb enough to shove pocket pair in this spot. Could you please expand a bit on why it is that bad?
Thanks again,
Michael